Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 6%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
NOWE

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 6%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$477 Wol.

55%

icon for Casey Farrell

Casey Farrell

$438 Wol.

15%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$351 Wol.

6%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$138 Wol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley Council mayor in Tasmania, leads trader pricing ahead of the October 27, 2026 local government election under the preferential voting system used for mayoral contests. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget adjustments returning the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO after a national recruitment process, have supported her position. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without a seconder. Lower probabilities assigned to challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall reflect limited public visibility or organized campaigns ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Trader consensus incorporates these governance and financial developments while noting the potential for late entries or preference flows to influence the outcome in this closely watched Tasmanian local race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$1,404
Data zakończenia
Oct 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley Council mayor in Tasmania, leads trader pricing ahead of the October 27, 2026 local government election under the preferential voting system used for mayoral contests. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget adjustments returning the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO after a national recruitment process, have supported her position. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without a seconder. Lower probabilities assigned to challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall reflect limited public visibility or organized campaigns ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Trader consensus incorporates these governance and financial developments while noting the potential for late entries or preference flows to influence the outcome in this closely watched Tasmanian local race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$1,404
Data zakończenia
Oct 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Michelle Dracoulis" z 55%, za nim "Casey Farrell" z 15%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 55¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 55% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 3, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Michelle Dracoulis" z 55%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 55% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Casey Farrell" z 15%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.