Elon Musk's October 2026 tweet volume market remains unusually wide open because his posting rate on X fluctuates sharply with business cycles at Tesla, SpaceX, and the platform itself. Traders price the 1,000-plus bin highest at 34% due to his history of high-volume periods during product launches, regulatory fights, or viral controversies, while mid-700s to high-900s bins cluster around 7-10% each on expectations of steadier but still active engagement. Key swing factors include fall earnings calls, any new vehicle or rocket milestones, and his personal travel or political commentary, all of which can shift daily output by hundreds of posts with little warning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1000+ 34%
880-919 11%
700-719 7.5%
840-879 8%
$20,414 Wol.
$20,414 Wol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
4%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-619
4%
620-639
3%
640-659
4%
660-679
5%
680-699
5%
700-719
8%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
7%
780-799
7%
800-839
6%
840-879
8%
880-919
11%
920-959
8%
960-999
8%
1000+
34%
1000+ 34%
880-919 11%
700-719 7.5%
840-879 8%
$20,414 Wol.
$20,414 Wol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
2%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
4%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-619
4%
620-639
3%
640-659
4%
660-679
5%
680-699
5%
700-719
8%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
7%
780-799
7%
800-839
6%
840-879
8%
880-919
11%
920-959
8%
960-999
8%
1000+
34%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's October 2026 tweet volume market remains unusually wide open because his posting rate on X fluctuates sharply with business cycles at Tesla, SpaceX, and the platform itself. Traders price the 1,000-plus bin highest at 34% due to his history of high-volume periods during product launches, regulatory fights, or viral controversies, while mid-700s to high-900s bins cluster around 7-10% each on expectations of steadier but still active engagement. Key swing factors include fall earnings calls, any new vehicle or rocket milestones, and his personal travel or political commentary, all of which can shift daily output by hundreds of posts with little warning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania