Traders assign an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability to Elon Musk not signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 because he has publicly endorsed related ideas without committing to the document itself. In July 2026 the statement, signed by over 1,300 employees across frontier labs, called for U.S.-backed international tools to pace automated AI research amid competitive pressures. Musk skipped that letter entirely. His September 12 reply of “Dario is right” to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s essay signaled agreement on slowing capability growth but stopped short of adding his name or xAI’s endorsement to the employee statement. With only two weeks remaining and no reported movement, the market reflects Musk’s pattern of selective public alignment rather than formal signatory status. A last-minute confirmation via the site or official channels remains possible but appears unlikely given his current stance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoElon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
9% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
9% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability to Elon Musk not signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 because he has publicly endorsed related ideas without committing to the document itself. In July 2026 the statement, signed by over 1,300 employees across frontier labs, called for U.S.-backed international tools to pace automated AI research amid competitive pressures. Musk skipped that letter entirely. His September 12 reply of “Dario is right” to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s essay signaled agreement on slowing capability growth but stopped short of adding his name or xAI’s endorsement to the employee statement. With only two weeks remaining and no reported movement, the market reflects Musk’s pattern of selective public alignment rather than formal signatory status. A last-minute confirmation via the site or official channels remains possible but appears unlikely given his current stance.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,775Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability to Elon Musk not signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 because he has publicly endorsed related ideas without committing to the document itself. In July 2026 the statement, signed by over 1,300 employees across frontier labs, called for U.S.-backed international tools to pace automated AI research amid competitive pressures. Musk skipped that letter entirely. His September 12 reply of “Dario is right” to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s essay signaled agreement on slowing capability growth but stopped short of adding his name or xAI’s endorsement to the employee statement. With only two weeks remaining and no reported movement, the market reflects Musk’s pattern of selective public alignment rather than formal signatory status. A last-minute confirmation via the site or official channels remains possible but appears unlikely given his current stance.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$4,775Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an overwhelming 91.5% implied probability to Elon Musk not signing the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30 because he has publicly endorsed related ideas without committing to the document itself. In July 2026 the statement, signed by over 1,300 employees across frontier labs, called for U.S.-backed international tools to pace automated AI research amid competitive pressures. Musk skipped that letter entirely. His September 12 reply of “Dario is right” to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s essay signaled agreement on slowing capability growth but stopped short of adding his name or xAI’s endorsement to the employee statement. With only two weeks remaining and no reported movement, the market reflects Musk’s pattern of selective public alignment rather than formal signatory status. A last-minute confirmation via the site or official channels remains possible but appears unlikely given his current stance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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