Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$125,678 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
81%
September 17
14%
September 20
27%
September 24
67%
September 27
63%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$125,678 Wol.
September 30
$61,465 Wol.
81%
September 17
$2,680 Wol.
14%
September 20
$909 Wol.
27%
September 24
$506 Wol.
67%
September 27
$106 Wol.
63%
October 31
$13,502 Wol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$125,678Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$125,678Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration in its Claude 5 family, including the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, has fueled trader expectations for another Opus update soon. Unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 routing tests and internal slugs point to a possible mid-to-late September rollout, aligning with prediction-market medians near September 22 and high probability of resolution within a week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s expected GPT updates and Google’s Gemini timeline adds urgency, while Anthropic’s focus on agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and efficiency gains at stable $5/$25 pricing supports continued momentum. Key near-term catalysts include any official system card, API identifier, or blog post confirming the next flagship Opus variant.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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