Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$142,070 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
81%
September 17
4%
September 20
8%
September 24
63%
September 27
82%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$142,070 Wol.
September 30
$65,129 Wol.
81%
September 17
$7,931 Wol.
4%
September 20
$3,596 Wol.
8%
September 24
$3,117 Wol.
63%
September 27
$2,134 Wol.
82%
October 31
$13,502 Wol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$142,070Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$142,070Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s most recent flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched on July 24, 2026, with 1M-token context and strong agentic benchmarks at half the price of Fable 5. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release centers on unconfirmed social-media routing claims pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, driving Polymarket odds sharply toward September. The company’s rapid cadence—multiple Opus 4.x iterations earlier in 2026 followed by the full 5-series jump—supports expectations of continued iteration, though no official announcement, model card, or API identifier has appeared. Key near-term catalysts include any developer conference updates, safety-related disclosures, or competitive pressure from rival frontier models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus tier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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