Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with stronger tool use, coding performance, and a 1-million-token context window—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic’s pattern of shipping Sonnet updates roughly three to five months after major Opus or new-tier releases, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models on agentic benchmarks. Recent EU AI Act compliance moves, including machine-readable watermarks required for new models from early August 2026, could influence development timelines but are unlikely to delay a launch. No official hints have emerged yet for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to any credible reporting on internal progress or upcoming developer events.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Sonnet released by...?
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
11%
October 31
54%
December 31
77%
$3,924 Wol.
August 31
$562 Wol.
11%
October 31
$257 Wol.
54%
December 31
$3,105 Wol.
77%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with stronger tool use, coding performance, and a 1-million-token context window—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic’s pattern of shipping Sonnet updates roughly three to five months after major Opus or new-tier releases, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models on agentic benchmarks. Recent EU AI Act compliance moves, including machine-readable watermarks required for new models from early August 2026, could influence development timelines but are unlikely to delay a launch. No official hints have emerged yet for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to any credible reporting on internal progress or upcoming developer events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,924Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with stronger tool use, coding performance, and a 1-million-token context window—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic’s pattern of shipping Sonnet updates roughly three to five months after major Opus or new-tier releases, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models on agentic benchmarks. Recent EU AI Act compliance moves, including machine-readable watermarks required for new models from early August 2026, could influence development timelines but are unlikely to delay a launch. No official hints have emerged yet for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to any credible reporting on internal progress or upcoming developer events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$3,924Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with stronger tool use, coding performance, and a 1-million-token context window—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. Traders are watching Anthropic’s pattern of shipping Sonnet updates roughly three to five months after major Opus or new-tier releases, alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models on agentic benchmarks. Recent EU AI Act compliance moves, including machine-readable watermarks required for new models from early August 2026, could influence development timelines but are unlikely to delay a launch. No official hints have emerged yet for a Sonnet 6 or equivalent, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to any credible reporting on internal progress or upcoming developer events.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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