Congressional gridlock and the current administration’s preference for a light-touch federal framework continue to limit prospects for comprehensive AI safety legislation by the end of 2026. An executive order issued in December 2025 directs agencies to promote minimal regulatory burdens and preempt conflicting state measures while advancing national security evaluations through renamed institutes and industry partnerships. Multiple bills addressing frontier model oversight, algorithmic accountability, and related safeguards remain in early committee stages without floor votes or bipartisan momentum. State-level actions on chatbots and deepfakes have accelerated, yet federal passage faces procedural hurdles and competing priorities ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. This environment sustains trader consensus that the probability of enactment before 2027 remains low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$98,190 Wol.
$98,190 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$98,190 Wol.
$98,190 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional gridlock and the current administration’s preference for a light-touch federal framework continue to limit prospects for comprehensive AI safety legislation by the end of 2026. An executive order issued in December 2025 directs agencies to promote minimal regulatory burdens and preempt conflicting state measures while advancing national security evaluations through renamed institutes and industry partnerships. Multiple bills addressing frontier model oversight, algorithmic accountability, and related safeguards remain in early committee stages without floor votes or bipartisan momentum. State-level actions on chatbots and deepfakes have accelerated, yet federal passage faces procedural hurdles and competing priorities ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. This environment sustains trader consensus that the probability of enactment before 2027 remains low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$98,190Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional gridlock and the current administration’s preference for a light-touch federal framework continue to limit prospects for comprehensive AI safety legislation by the end of 2026. An executive order issued in December 2025 directs agencies to promote minimal regulatory burdens and preempt conflicting state measures while advancing national security evaluations through renamed institutes and industry partnerships. Multiple bills addressing frontier model oversight, algorithmic accountability, and related safeguards remain in early committee stages without floor votes or bipartisan momentum. State-level actions on chatbots and deepfakes have accelerated, yet federal passage faces procedural hurdles and competing priorities ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. This environment sustains trader consensus that the probability of enactment before 2027 remains low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$98,190Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional gridlock and the current administration’s preference for a light-touch federal framework continue to limit prospects for comprehensive AI safety legislation by the end of 2026. An executive order issued in December 2025 directs agencies to promote minimal regulatory burdens and preempt conflicting state measures while advancing national security evaluations through renamed institutes and industry partnerships. Multiple bills addressing frontier model oversight, algorithmic accountability, and related safeguards remain in early committee stages without floor votes or bipartisan momentum. State-level actions on chatbots and deepfakes have accelerated, yet federal passage faces procedural hurdles and competing priorities ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. This environment sustains trader consensus that the probability of enactment before 2027 remains low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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