Recent model releases have intensified competition for the top AI model spot heading into late June 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant variants, launched in late April, currently lead several Arena Elo and math benchmarks, while Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview hold strong edges in reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series and xAI’s Grok 4.20 updates remain within 20-30 Elo points of the leaders, creating a tight cluster where incremental improvements or new variants could shift rankings quickly. New U.S. safety testing requirements for frontier models add regulatory scrutiny that may slow some deployments, though no company has announced a major June release that would decisively alter the current balance. Traders are watching for any last-minute capability demonstrations or benchmark updates before the June 30 cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóre firmy będą miały model AI nr1 do 30 czerwca?
Które firmy będą miały model AI nr1 do 30 czerwca?
$1,563,400 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI
11%
Mistral
5%
xAI
5%
Meta
4%
Z.ai
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Alibaba
2%
Nvidia
2%
Baidu
2%
Meituan
1%
$1,563,400 Wol.
OpenAI
$406,504 Wol.
11%
Mistral
$13,222 Wol.
5%
xAI
$559,434 Wol.
5%
Meta
$15,461 Wol.
4%
Z.ai
$10,760 Wol.
2%
DeepSeek
$275,939 Wol.
2%
Alibaba
$10,642 Wol.
2%
Nvidia
$6,421 Wol.
2%
Baidu
$3,961 Wol.
2%
Meituan
$3,086 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Recent model releases have intensified competition for the top AI model spot heading into late June 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant variants, launched in late April, currently lead several Arena Elo and math benchmarks, while Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview hold strong edges in reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series and xAI’s Grok 4.20 updates remain within 20-30 Elo points of the leaders, creating a tight cluster where incremental improvements or new variants could shift rankings quickly. New U.S. safety testing requirements for frontier models add regulatory scrutiny that may slow some deployments, though no company has announced a major June release that would decisively alter the current balance. Traders are watching for any last-minute capability demonstrations or benchmark updates before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,563,400Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Recent model releases have intensified competition for the top AI model spot heading into late June 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant variants, launched in late April, currently lead several Arena Elo and math benchmarks, while Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview hold strong edges in reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series and xAI’s Grok 4.20 updates remain within 20-30 Elo points of the leaders, creating a tight cluster where incremental improvements or new variants could shift rankings quickly. New U.S. safety testing requirements for frontier models add regulatory scrutiny that may slow some deployments, though no company has announced a major June release that would decisively alter the current balance. Traders are watching for any last-minute capability demonstrations or benchmark updates before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Wolumen
$1,563,400Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent model releases have intensified competition for the top AI model spot heading into late June 2026. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant variants, launched in late April, currently lead several Arena Elo and math benchmarks, while Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview hold strong edges in reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series and xAI’s Grok 4.20 updates remain within 20-30 Elo points of the leaders, creating a tight cluster where incremental improvements or new variants could shift rankings quickly. New U.S. safety testing requirements for frontier models add regulatory scrutiny that may slow some deployments, though no company has announced a major June release that would decisively alter the current balance. Traders are watching for any last-minute capability demonstrations or benchmark updates before the June 30 cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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