Bolivian judicial authorities reissued an arrest warrant for former president Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for the opening of his trial on human trafficking charges, prompting the court to declare him in contempt and suspend proceedings. Morales remains in the Chapare region, a longstanding political stronghold where his supporters have signaled readiness to resist any enforcement attempt. With the May 31 deadline approaching, no police operation has materialized in the intervening days, and the government under President Rodrigo Paz continues to navigate heightened political tensions and potential unrest. These factors underpin trader expectations that an arrest will not occur by the cutoff, reflecting the practical barriers of Morales's protected location and the short remaining window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEvo Morales arrested by May 31
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
$13,568 Wol.
$13,568 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$13,568 Wol.
$13,568 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bolivian judicial authorities reissued an arrest warrant for former president Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for the opening of his trial on human trafficking charges, prompting the court to declare him in contempt and suspend proceedings. Morales remains in the Chapare region, a longstanding political stronghold where his supporters have signaled readiness to resist any enforcement attempt. With the May 31 deadline approaching, no police operation has materialized in the intervening days, and the government under President Rodrigo Paz continues to navigate heightened political tensions and potential unrest. These factors underpin trader expectations that an arrest will not occur by the cutoff, reflecting the practical barriers of Morales's protected location and the short remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,568Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bolivian judicial authorities reissued an arrest warrant for former president Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for the opening of his trial on human trafficking charges, prompting the court to declare him in contempt and suspend proceedings. Morales remains in the Chapare region, a longstanding political stronghold where his supporters have signaled readiness to resist any enforcement attempt. With the May 31 deadline approaching, no police operation has materialized in the intervening days, and the government under President Rodrigo Paz continues to navigate heightened political tensions and potential unrest. These factors underpin trader expectations that an arrest will not occur by the cutoff, reflecting the practical barriers of Morales's protected location and the short remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$13,610Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bolivian judicial authorities reissued an arrest warrant for former president Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for the opening of his trial on human trafficking charges, prompting the court to declare him in contempt and suspend proceedings. Morales remains in the Chapare region, a longstanding political stronghold where his supporters have signaled readiness to resist any enforcement attempt. With the May 31 deadline approaching, no police operation has materialized in the intervening days, and the government under President Rodrigo Paz continues to navigate heightened political tensions and potential unrest. These factors underpin trader expectations that an arrest will not occur by the cutoff, reflecting the practical barriers of Morales's protected location and the short remaining window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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