As President of South Korea since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed all pending trials on prior charges, including election-law violations and corruption allegations, with no new indictments issued since his inauguration. The ruling Democratic Party has advanced judicial reforms expanding the Supreme Court and proposed special counsel legislation that could potentially dismiss existing cases, while opposition impeachment efforts have gained little procedural traction. Trader consensus at 89.3% against arrest before 2027 reflects this institutional protection and absence of recent developments capable of overriding it within the timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$319,036 Wol.
$319,036 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$319,036 Wol.
$319,036 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As President of South Korea since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed all pending trials on prior charges, including election-law violations and corruption allegations, with no new indictments issued since his inauguration. The ruling Democratic Party has advanced judicial reforms expanding the Supreme Court and proposed special counsel legislation that could potentially dismiss existing cases, while opposition impeachment efforts have gained little procedural traction. Trader consensus at 89.3% against arrest before 2027 reflects this institutional protection and absence of recent developments capable of overriding it within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$319,036Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As President of South Korea since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed all pending trials on prior charges, including election-law violations and corruption allegations, with no new indictments issued since his inauguration. The ruling Democratic Party has advanced judicial reforms expanding the Supreme Court and proposed special counsel legislation that could potentially dismiss existing cases, while opposition impeachment efforts have gained little procedural traction. Trader consensus at 89.3% against arrest before 2027 reflects this institutional protection and absence of recent developments capable of overriding it within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$319,036Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As President of South Korea since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed all pending trials on prior charges, including election-law violations and corruption allegations, with no new indictments issued since his inauguration. The ruling Democratic Party has advanced judicial reforms expanding the Supreme Court and proposed special counsel legislation that could potentially dismiss existing cases, while opposition impeachment efforts have gained little procedural traction. Trader consensus at 89.3% against arrest before 2027 reflects this institutional protection and absence of recent developments capable of overriding it within the timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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