Lee Jae-myung, South Korea’s incumbent president since June 2025, faces several pre-presidency cases involving corruption allegations and election-law violations stemming from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Appeals courts have overturned key convictions, including a suspended sentence on false-statement charges, while remaining trials have been indefinitely postponed by the judiciary. As head of state, Lee benefits from institutional protections and political leverage that historically shield sitting presidents from arrest, with no verified moves toward detention in 2026. Recent developments, including diplomatic initiatives on North Korea peace talks, constitutional reform proposals for the presidency, and international engagements, further underscore stability in his position. These factors explain trader consensus on the low probability of arrest by the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7% szansa
$529,585 Wol.
$529,585 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$529,585 Wol.
$529,585 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lee Jae-myung, South Korea’s incumbent president since June 2025, faces several pre-presidency cases involving corruption allegations and election-law violations stemming from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Appeals courts have overturned key convictions, including a suspended sentence on false-statement charges, while remaining trials have been indefinitely postponed by the judiciary. As head of state, Lee benefits from institutional protections and political leverage that historically shield sitting presidents from arrest, with no verified moves toward detention in 2026. Recent developments, including diplomatic initiatives on North Korea peace talks, constitutional reform proposals for the presidency, and international engagements, further underscore stability in his position. These factors explain trader consensus on the low probability of arrest by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$529,585Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lee Jae-myung, South Korea’s incumbent president since June 2025, faces several pre-presidency cases involving corruption allegations and election-law violations stemming from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Appeals courts have overturned key convictions, including a suspended sentence on false-statement charges, while remaining trials have been indefinitely postponed by the judiciary. As head of state, Lee benefits from institutional protections and political leverage that historically shield sitting presidents from arrest, with no verified moves toward detention in 2026. Recent developments, including diplomatic initiatives on North Korea peace talks, constitutional reform proposals for the presidency, and international engagements, further underscore stability in his position. These factors explain trader consensus on the low probability of arrest by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$529,585Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lee Jae-myung, South Korea’s incumbent president since June 2025, faces several pre-presidency cases involving corruption allegations and election-law violations stemming from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor. Appeals courts have overturned key convictions, including a suspended sentence on false-statement charges, while remaining trials have been indefinitely postponed by the judiciary. As head of state, Lee benefits from institutional protections and political leverage that historically shield sitting presidents from arrest, with no verified moves toward detention in 2026. Recent developments, including diplomatic initiatives on North Korea peace talks, constitutional reform proposals for the presidency, and international engagements, further underscore stability in his position. These factors explain trader consensus on the low probability of arrest by the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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