President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to advance to the Constitutional Court—a threshold unattainable without widespread defections from the opposition People Power Party. Recent opposition rhetoric, including Han Dong-hoon's May 2026 threat to lead impeachment if Lee interferes with his ongoing indictments, has failed to materialize into formal action, while a citizen petition exceeding 150,000 signatures was delayed by the Democratic-controlled Legislation and Judiciary Committee until May 2028, effectively sidelining it beyond his term. High approval ratings above 50% and prior legal acquittals further solidify trader consensus at 90.6% against impeachment before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to advance to the Constitutional Court—a threshold unattainable without widespread defections from the opposition People Power Party. Recent opposition rhetoric, including Han Dong-hoon's May 2026 threat to lead impeachment if Lee interferes with his ongoing indictments, has failed to materialize into formal action, while a citizen petition exceeding 150,000 signatures was delayed by the Democratic-controlled Legislation and Judiciary Committee until May 2028, effectively sidelining it beyond his term. High approval ratings above 50% and prior legal acquittals further solidify trader consensus at 90.6% against impeachment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,155Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to advance to the Constitutional Court—a threshold unattainable without widespread defections from the opposition People Power Party. Recent opposition rhetoric, including Han Dong-hoon's May 2026 threat to lead impeachment if Lee interferes with his ongoing indictments, has failed to materialize into formal action, while a citizen petition exceeding 150,000 signatures was delayed by the Democratic-controlled Legislation and Judiciary Committee until May 2028, effectively sidelining it beyond his term. High approval ratings above 50% and prior legal acquittals further solidify trader consensus at 90.6% against impeachment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$9,155Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to advance to the Constitutional Court—a threshold unattainable without widespread defections from the opposition People Power Party. Recent opposition rhetoric, including Han Dong-hoon's May 2026 threat to lead impeachment if Lee interferes with his ongoing indictments, has failed to materialize into formal action, while a citizen petition exceeding 150,000 signatures was delayed by the Democratic-controlled Legislation and Judiciary Committee until May 2028, effectively sidelining it beyond his term. High approval ratings above 50% and prior legal acquittals further solidify trader consensus at 90.6% against impeachment before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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