Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces indictment by the Audiencia Nacional in the Plus Ultra case on charges including influence peddling, organized crime, and document falsification tied to Venezuelan-linked financial operations. He is scheduled to appear as an investigated party on June 2 and has publicly stated his intent to cooperate fully with the court. Spanish judicial practice in complex financial investigations rarely involves pre-trial detention for compliant individuals, particularly within the narrow window before the June 30 market resolution date. U.S. assistance has contributed evidence to the probe, yet no international arrest warrant or extradition proceeding has advanced to an active detention stage. Traders therefore assign high probability to no arrest occurring by the deadline, reflecting standard procedural timelines and the absence of any recent enforcement action.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
$31,704 Wol.
$31,704 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$31,704 Wol.
$31,704 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces indictment by the Audiencia Nacional in the Plus Ultra case on charges including influence peddling, organized crime, and document falsification tied to Venezuelan-linked financial operations. He is scheduled to appear as an investigated party on June 2 and has publicly stated his intent to cooperate fully with the court. Spanish judicial practice in complex financial investigations rarely involves pre-trial detention for compliant individuals, particularly within the narrow window before the June 30 market resolution date. U.S. assistance has contributed evidence to the probe, yet no international arrest warrant or extradition proceeding has advanced to an active detention stage. Traders therefore assign high probability to no arrest occurring by the deadline, reflecting standard procedural timelines and the absence of any recent enforcement action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,704Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces indictment by the Audiencia Nacional in the Plus Ultra case on charges including influence peddling, organized crime, and document falsification tied to Venezuelan-linked financial operations. He is scheduled to appear as an investigated party on June 2 and has publicly stated his intent to cooperate fully with the court. Spanish judicial practice in complex financial investigations rarely involves pre-trial detention for compliant individuals, particularly within the narrow window before the June 30 market resolution date. U.S. assistance has contributed evidence to the probe, yet no international arrest warrant or extradition proceeding has advanced to an active detention stage. Traders therefore assign high probability to no arrest occurring by the deadline, reflecting standard procedural timelines and the absence of any recent enforcement action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$31,704Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces indictment by the Audiencia Nacional in the Plus Ultra case on charges including influence peddling, organized crime, and document falsification tied to Venezuelan-linked financial operations. He is scheduled to appear as an investigated party on June 2 and has publicly stated his intent to cooperate fully with the court. Spanish judicial practice in complex financial investigations rarely involves pre-trial detention for compliant individuals, particularly within the narrow window before the June 30 market resolution date. U.S. assistance has contributed evidence to the probe, yet no international arrest warrant or extradition proceeding has advanced to an active detention stage. Traders therefore assign high probability to no arrest occurring by the deadline, reflecting standard procedural timelines and the absence of any recent enforcement action.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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