The special election to fill Georgia’s 13th congressional seat, vacant after Democratic incumbent David Scott’s death in April 2026, featured six candidates on a combined July 28 ballot under state rules allowing an outright win with a majority. Traders priced a high likelihood of such a result because the district’s strong Democratic lean favored rapid consolidation behind one of the four Democratic contenders, particularly those with name recognition or institutional support, while the two Republicans were expected to split a small share. Recent primary and special-election patterns in similar Georgia districts reinforced expectations that a single frontrunner would clear 50 percent. The August 25 runoff between the top two Democrats now proceeds because no candidate achieved that threshold, illustrating how vote fragmentation among co-partisans can still force a second round despite the district’s partisan makeup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
95% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
95% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The special election to fill Georgia’s 13th congressional seat, vacant after Democratic incumbent David Scott’s death in April 2026, featured six candidates on a combined July 28 ballot under state rules allowing an outright win with a majority. Traders priced a high likelihood of such a result because the district’s strong Democratic lean favored rapid consolidation behind one of the four Democratic contenders, particularly those with name recognition or institutional support, while the two Republicans were expected to split a small share. Recent primary and special-election patterns in similar Georgia districts reinforced expectations that a single frontrunner would clear 50 percent. The August 25 runoff between the top two Democrats now proceeds because no candidate achieved that threshold, illustrating how vote fragmentation among co-partisans can still force a second round despite the district’s partisan makeup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$398Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.The special election to fill Georgia’s 13th congressional seat, vacant after Democratic incumbent David Scott’s death in April 2026, featured six candidates on a combined July 28 ballot under state rules allowing an outright win with a majority. Traders priced a high likelihood of such a result because the district’s strong Democratic lean favored rapid consolidation behind one of the four Democratic contenders, particularly those with name recognition or institutional support, while the two Republicans were expected to split a small share. Recent primary and special-election patterns in similar Georgia districts reinforced expectations that a single frontrunner would clear 50 percent. The August 25 runoff between the top two Democrats now proceeds because no candidate achieved that threshold, illustrating how vote fragmentation among co-partisans can still force a second round despite the district’s partisan makeup.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Wolumen
$398Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The special election to fill Georgia’s 13th congressional seat, vacant after Democratic incumbent David Scott’s death in April 2026, featured six candidates on a combined July 28 ballot under state rules allowing an outright win with a majority. Traders priced a high likelihood of such a result because the district’s strong Democratic lean favored rapid consolidation behind one of the four Democratic contenders, particularly those with name recognition or institutional support, while the two Republicans were expected to split a small share. Recent primary and special-election patterns in similar Georgia districts reinforced expectations that a single frontrunner would clear 50 percent. The August 25 runoff between the top two Democrats now proceeds because no candidate achieved that threshold, illustrating how vote fragmentation among co-partisans can still force a second round despite the district’s partisan makeup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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