Polymarket traders price a 33% implied probability for Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range versus 27% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting tight contestation around the current June futures level near $4,705 amid spot gold's recent pullback from a three-week high of $4,774. This positioning stems from profit-taking ahead of the Trump-Xi summit and softer Asian demand signals over the past week, offsetting persistent tailwinds like central bank purchases, de-dollarization flows, and ETF inflows fueled by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC signals on policy stance, with hotter inflation or USD strength potentially favoring lower bins, while geopolitical risks or softer jobs data could propel prices higher toward bank forecasts averaging $5,400 by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoW jakim zakresie Gold (GC) rozliczy się w czerwcu?
W jakim zakresie Gold (GC) rozliczy się w czerwcu?
4 600–5 000 USD 33%
4 200–4 600 USD 28.5%
5 000–5 400 USD 16.6%
5 400-5 800 USD 10%
$944,168 Wol.
$944,168 Wol.
<3 800 USD
1%
3 800–4 200 USD
9%
4 200–4 600 USD
29%
4 600–5 000 USD
33%
5 000–5 400 USD
17%
5 400-5 800 USD
10%
5 800–6 200 USD
2%
>6 200 USD
2%
4 600–5 000 USD 33%
4 200–4 600 USD 28.5%
5 000–5 400 USD 16.6%
5 400-5 800 USD 10%
$944,168 Wol.
$944,168 Wol.
<3 800 USD
1%
3 800–4 200 USD
9%
4 200–4 600 USD
29%
4 600–5 000 USD
33%
5 000–5 400 USD
17%
5 400-5 800 USD
10%
5 800–6 200 USD
2%
>6 200 USD
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 33% implied probability for Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range versus 27% for $4,200-$4,600, reflecting tight contestation around the current June futures level near $4,705 amid spot gold's recent pullback from a three-week high of $4,774. This positioning stems from profit-taking ahead of the Trump-Xi summit and softer Asian demand signals over the past week, offsetting persistent tailwinds like central bank purchases, de-dollarization flows, and ETF inflows fueled by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC signals on policy stance, with hotter inflation or USD strength potentially favoring lower bins, while geopolitical risks or softer jobs data could propel prices higher toward bank forecasts averaging $5,400 by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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