Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing for end-June 2026 hinges on a delicate supply-demand balance amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions from US-Iran conflicts and Israeli strikes on Iran, which have embedded a risk premium keeping June CL futures near $100.49 per barrel as of May 14. The EIA's May 13 report revealed a larger-than-expected 4.3 million barrel inventory draw for the week ending May 8, signaling tightening US stocks, while global inventories are projected to decline 8.5 million b/d in 2Q26 per EIA's STEO, supporting prices around $106/bbl for Brent in May. Offsetting this, OPEC+ agreed on May 3 to boost output, capping upside amid softer demand growth forecasts. Key catalysts ahead include the May 20 EIA report, potential OPEC+ June policy signals, and any escalation in regional hostilities that could spike volatility toward resolution on June 19 first notice day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
Czy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$16,521,702 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
3%
↑ 175 USD
8%
↑ 150 USD
12%
↑ 140 USD
18%
↑ 130 USD
31%
↑ 120 USD
42%
↑ 115 USD
53%
↑ $110
54%
↑ $105
66%
↓ $90
81%
↓ $85
55%
↓ 80 USD
43%
↓ 70 USD
18%
↓ 60 USD
7%
↓ 55 USD
4%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
2%
↓ 35 USD
1%
$16,521,702 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
3%
↑ 175 USD
8%
↑ 150 USD
12%
↑ 140 USD
18%
↑ 130 USD
31%
↑ 120 USD
42%
↑ 115 USD
53%
↑ $110
54%
↑ $105
66%
↓ $90
81%
↓ $85
55%
↓ 80 USD
43%
↓ 70 USD
18%
↓ 60 USD
7%
↓ 55 USD
4%
↓ 52 USD
2%
↓ 50 USD
2%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
2%
↓ 35 USD
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) futures pricing for end-June 2026 hinges on a delicate supply-demand balance amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions from US-Iran conflicts and Israeli strikes on Iran, which have embedded a risk premium keeping June CL futures near $100.49 per barrel as of May 14. The EIA's May 13 report revealed a larger-than-expected 4.3 million barrel inventory draw for the week ending May 8, signaling tightening US stocks, while global inventories are projected to decline 8.5 million b/d in 2Q26 per EIA's STEO, supporting prices around $106/bbl for Brent in May. Offsetting this, OPEC+ agreed on May 3 to boost output, capping upside amid softer demand growth forecasts. Key catalysts ahead include the May 20 EIA report, potential OPEC+ June policy signals, and any escalation in regional hostilities that could spike volatility toward resolution on June 19 first notice day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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