Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 drove recent sentiment by posting 56% on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) with tools and 43.5% without, placing it among the top public entries behind select Anthropic Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants at 59–65%. Traders view this as evidence of strong reasoning and agentic capabilities, yet note the gap to leaders and the inherent uncertainty in further scaling, tool integration, or internal iterations before December 31. Key swing factors include any follow-on Kimi releases, benchmark methodology shifts between tool-assisted and closed-book runs, and competitive responses from OpenAI or Meta that could alter relative positioning. Current market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital-at-risk consensus on these near-term technical and release dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$64,950 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
45%+
85%
50%+
31%
55%+
20%
60%+
11%
65%+
8%
$64,950 Wol.
45%+
$15,681 Wol.
85%
50%+
$25,834 Wol.
31%
55%+
$11,870 Wol.
20%
60%+
$9,733 Wol.
11%
65%+
$1,832 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 drove recent sentiment by posting 56% on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) with tools and 43.5% without, placing it among the top public entries behind select Anthropic Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants at 59–65%. Traders view this as evidence of strong reasoning and agentic capabilities, yet note the gap to leaders and the inherent uncertainty in further scaling, tool integration, or internal iterations before December 31. Key swing factors include any follow-on Kimi releases, benchmark methodology shifts between tool-assisted and closed-book runs, and competitive responses from OpenAI or Meta that could alter relative positioning. Current market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital-at-risk consensus on these near-term technical and release dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$64,950Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://agi.safe.ai/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 drove recent sentiment by posting 56% on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) with tools and 43.5% without, placing it among the top public entries behind select Anthropic Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants at 59–65%. Traders view this as evidence of strong reasoning and agentic capabilities, yet note the gap to leaders and the inherent uncertainty in further scaling, tool integration, or internal iterations before December 31. Key swing factors include any follow-on Kimi releases, benchmark methodology shifts between tool-assisted and closed-book runs, and competitive responses from OpenAI or Meta that could alter relative positioning. Current market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital-at-risk consensus on these near-term technical and release dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Wolumen
$64,950Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://agi.safe.ai/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 drove recent sentiment by posting 56% on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) with tools and 43.5% without, placing it among the top public entries behind select Anthropic Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants at 59–65%. Traders view this as evidence of strong reasoning and agentic capabilities, yet note the gap to leaders and the inherent uncertainty in further scaling, tool integration, or internal iterations before December 31. Key swing factors include any follow-on Kimi releases, benchmark methodology shifts between tool-assisted and closed-book runs, and competitive responses from OpenAI or Meta that could alter relative positioning. Current market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital-at-risk consensus on these near-term technical and release dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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