Latest European model guidance, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, positions Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating and modest warm-air advection, keeping the most probable peak in the low 30s. Traders have concentrated probability on 32 °C (37.5 %) and 31 °C (30.0 %), with the narrow spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual thin cloud that could shave 1 °C off the daily high. Updated model consensus and official KNMI guidance through August 2 will provide the final refinements before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
32°C 37%
31°C 30%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
30%
32°C
37%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 30%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$33 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$132 Wol.
2%
29°C
$410 Wol.
4%
30°C
$543 Wol.
10%
31°C
$206 Wol.
30%
32°C
$1,196 Wol.
37%
33°C
$1,115 Wol.
14%
34°C
$177 Wol.
9%
35°C
$325 Wol.
2%
36°C
$127 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$130 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model guidance, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, positions Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating and modest warm-air advection, keeping the most probable peak in the low 30s. Traders have concentrated probability on 32 °C (37.5 %) and 31 °C (30.0 %), with the narrow spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual thin cloud that could shave 1 °C off the daily high. Updated model consensus and official KNMI guidance through August 2 will provide the final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,395Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model guidance, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, positions Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating and modest warm-air advection, keeping the most probable peak in the low 30s. Traders have concentrated probability on 32 °C (37.5 %) and 31 °C (30.0 %), with the narrow spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual thin cloud that could shave 1 °C off the daily high. Updated model consensus and official KNMI guidance through August 2 will provide the final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,395Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European model guidance, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, positions Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating and modest warm-air advection, keeping the most probable peak in the low 30s. Traders have concentrated probability on 32 °C (37.5 %) and 31 °C (30.0 %), with the narrow spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual thin cloud that could shave 1 °C off the daily high. Updated model consensus and official KNMI guidance through August 2 will provide the final refinements before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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