Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
30%
28°C
53%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$52 Wol.
1%
23°C
$52 Wol.
7%
24°C
$42 Wol.
3%
25°C
$37 Wol.
5%
26°C
$133 Wol.
8%
27°C
$112 Wol.
30%
28°C
$195 Wol.
53%
29°C
$20 Wol.
9%
30°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$52 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$787Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$787Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania