Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows a mild, mostly cloudy regime over the Netherlands on September 22 with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation, supporting maximum temperatures near 19–21 °C. This aligns with the broader September 2026 pattern that has run about 1.5–2 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 18–19 °C for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to keep outcomes from 17 °C to 24 °C roughly equiprobable, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the precise timing of any weak trough can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore price the full near-normal range evenly while assigning low probability to outliers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
20°C 44%
21°C 44%
19°C 19%
22°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
11%
19°C
19%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C
19%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
4%
20°C 44%
21°C 44%
19°C 19%
22°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
16°C
$0 Wol.
4%
17°C
$0 Wol.
7%
18°C
$0 Wol.
11%
19°C
$0 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
40%
21°C
$0 Wol.
38%
22°C
$0 Wol.
19%
23°C
$0 Wol.
11%
24°C
$0 Wol.
7%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows a mild, mostly cloudy regime over the Netherlands on September 22 with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation, supporting maximum temperatures near 19–21 °C. This aligns with the broader September 2026 pattern that has run about 1.5–2 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 18–19 °C for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to keep outcomes from 17 °C to 24 °C roughly equiprobable, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the precise timing of any weak trough can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore price the full near-normal range evenly while assigning low probability to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows a mild, mostly cloudy regime over the Netherlands on September 22 with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation, supporting maximum temperatures near 19–21 °C. This aligns with the broader September 2026 pattern that has run about 1.5–2 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 18–19 °C for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to keep outcomes from 17 °C to 24 °C roughly equiprobable, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the precise timing of any weak trough can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore price the full near-normal range evenly while assigning low probability to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows a mild, mostly cloudy regime over the Netherlands on September 22 with light southwesterly flow and minimal precipitation, supporting maximum temperatures near 19–21 °C. This aligns with the broader September 2026 pattern that has run about 1.5–2 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 18–19 °C for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to keep outcomes from 17 °C to 24 °C roughly equiprobable, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the precise timing of any weak trough can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore price the full near-normal range evenly while assigning low probability to outliers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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