Recent model consensus points to a cooler air mass advecting into central Poland ahead of a frontal boundary, limiting Warsaw’s September 22 maximum to the 14–17 °C range under widespread cloud cover and light rain or drizzle. Westerly to northwesterly winds are expected to maintain maritime influence, suppressing daytime heating while the preceding warm spell (September anomalies near +2–3 °C) transitions toward nearer-normal autumn values. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect timing differences in frontal passage, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 15–17 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
15°C 39%
17°C 39%
19°C 39%
14°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
14%
17°C
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
10%
21°C or higher
4%
15°C 39%
17°C 39%
19°C 39%
14°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
12°C
$0 Wol.
4%
13°C
$0 Wol.
16%
14°C
$0 Wol.
29%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
14%
17°C
$0 Wol.
39%
18°C
$0 Wol.
22%
19°C
$0 Wol.
39%
20°C
$0 Wol.
10%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a cooler air mass advecting into central Poland ahead of a frontal boundary, limiting Warsaw’s September 22 maximum to the 14–17 °C range under widespread cloud cover and light rain or drizzle. Westerly to northwesterly winds are expected to maintain maritime influence, suppressing daytime heating while the preceding warm spell (September anomalies near +2–3 °C) transitions toward nearer-normal autumn values. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect timing differences in frontal passage, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 15–17 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a cooler air mass advecting into central Poland ahead of a frontal boundary, limiting Warsaw’s September 22 maximum to the 14–17 °C range under widespread cloud cover and light rain or drizzle. Westerly to northwesterly winds are expected to maintain maritime influence, suppressing daytime heating while the preceding warm spell (September anomalies near +2–3 °C) transitions toward nearer-normal autumn values. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect timing differences in frontal passage, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 15–17 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a cooler air mass advecting into central Poland ahead of a frontal boundary, limiting Warsaw’s September 22 maximum to the 14–17 °C range under widespread cloud cover and light rain or drizzle. Westerly to northwesterly winds are expected to maintain maritime influence, suppressing daytime heating while the preceding warm spell (September anomalies near +2–3 °C) transitions toward nearer-normal autumn values. Ensemble spreads remain modest but reflect timing differences in frontal passage, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 15–17 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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