Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and easterly to southeasterly flow under moderate pressure near 748–759 mmHg that limits solar heating and advects milder maritime air. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September while suppressing peaks above 20°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 17°C and 18°C because ensemble runs show only modest differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, with new model updates and official briefings likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
17°C 35%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 16%
$15,233 Wol.
$15,233 Wol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
35%
18°C
28%
19°C
16%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 35%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 16%
$15,233 Wol.
$15,233 Wol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
35%
18°C
28%
19°C
16%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and easterly to southeasterly flow under moderate pressure near 748–759 mmHg that limits solar heating and advects milder maritime air. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September while suppressing peaks above 20°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 17°C and 18°C because ensemble runs show only modest differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, with new model updates and official briefings likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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