Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C on September 22, driven by moderate easterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap afternoon heating while limiting overnight cooling. Recent days have featured peaks of 31–34°C under clearer, drier conditions, but increased moisture and a weak trough are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow. This narrow band around 30–31°C explains the closely matched market-implied odds, with residual uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of convective cells and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
26°C
$123 Wol.
1%
27°C
$40 Wol.
2%
28°C
$40 Wol.
4%
29°C
$20 Wol.
10%
30°C
$244 Wol.
28%
31°C
$171 Wol.
35%
32°C
$123 Wol.
19%
33°C
$59 Wol.
5%
34°C
$80 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$311 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C on September 22, driven by moderate easterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap afternoon heating while limiting overnight cooling. Recent days have featured peaks of 31–34°C under clearer, drier conditions, but increased moisture and a weak trough are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow. This narrow band around 30–31°C explains the closely matched market-implied odds, with residual uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of convective cells and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,216Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C on September 22, driven by moderate easterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap afternoon heating while limiting overnight cooling. Recent days have featured peaks of 31–34°C under clearer, drier conditions, but increased moisture and a weak trough are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow. This narrow band around 30–31°C explains the closely matched market-implied odds, with residual uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of convective cells and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,216Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C on September 22, driven by moderate easterly flow, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap afternoon heating while limiting overnight cooling. Recent days have featured peaks of 31–34°C under clearer, drier conditions, but increased moisture and a weak trough are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow. This narrow band around 30–31°C explains the closely matched market-implied odds, with residual uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of convective cells and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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