Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C as the market-implied highest temperature for Buenos Aires on September 20, reflecting ensemble model consensus on mild spring conditions driven by northerly advection of warmer, humid air from subtropical latitudes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and a potential late-day wind shift toward the southwest introduce key uncertainties that differentiate outcomes within this narrow range, as reduced insolation or brief cooling outflows can cap the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated GFS/ECMWF runs continue to shape trader adjustments ahead of peak heating hours, consistent with historical September variability where frontal passages frequently modulate temperatures around the 22–25°C climatological baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 20?
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
24°C 21%
27°C 14%
$24,464 Wol.
$24,464 Wol.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
24°C 21%
27°C 14%
$24,464 Wol.
$24,464 Wol.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C as the market-implied highest temperature for Buenos Aires on September 20, reflecting ensemble model consensus on mild spring conditions driven by northerly advection of warmer, humid air from subtropical latitudes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and a potential late-day wind shift toward the southwest introduce key uncertainties that differentiate outcomes within this narrow range, as reduced insolation or brief cooling outflows can cap the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated GFS/ECMWF runs continue to shape trader adjustments ahead of peak heating hours, consistent with historical September variability where frontal passages frequently modulate temperatures around the 22–25°C climatological baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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