**Forecast models and real-time observations place Shenzhen's September 20 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds of 37.5% for 32°C and 39.5% for 33°C.** Partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and humidity levels of 60–80% are limiting full solar heating while the coastal location moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects. Midday readings have climbed into the low 30s amid patchy rain chances that could suppress further rises if convection develops earlier than expected. Historical September averages near 31°C and recent days' highs of 31–32°C provide context, with urban heat-island amplification adding localized warmth in denser districts. Traders appear focused on the narrow window between typical seasonal values and slight upward deviations from reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation, with official updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 20?
32°C 40%
33°C 40%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
$22,628 Wol.
$22,628 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
40%
33°C
40%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 40%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
$22,628 Wol.
$22,628 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
40%
33°C
40%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations place Shenzhen's September 20 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds of 37.5% for 32°C and 39.5% for 33°C.** Partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and humidity levels of 60–80% are limiting full solar heating while the coastal location moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects. Midday readings have climbed into the low 30s amid patchy rain chances that could suppress further rises if convection develops earlier than expected. Historical September averages near 31°C and recent days' highs of 31–32°C provide context, with urban heat-island amplification adding localized warmth in denser districts. Traders appear focused on the narrow window between typical seasonal values and slight upward deviations from reduced cloud cover or delayed precipitation, with official updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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