Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate a high near 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms, a key factor splitting trader sentiment between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Persistent humidity near 70% and light southerly winds limit rapid warming, while afternoon convection and cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where daily highs average around 31°C but vary with tropical moisture influx. Updated model runs and official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
33°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C
16%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
33°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C
16%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate a high near 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms, a key factor splitting trader sentiment between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Persistent humidity near 70% and light southerly winds limit rapid warming, while afternoon convection and cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with typical late-September climatology, where daily highs average around 31°C but vary with tropical moisture influx. Updated model runs and official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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