Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's September 20 minimum temperature remains closely balanced, with 27°C and 22°C-or-below each near 50% implied probability, because official forecasts from regional meteorological services converge on a 25–27°C overnight low under partly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity near 70–80% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms expected later in the period could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–26°C lows, but model consensus shows limited downside risk below 24°C absent stronger frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether convective development pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 20?
22°C or below 100%
24°C 20%
23°C 12%
28°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
100%
23°C
12%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 100%
24°C 20%
23°C 12%
28°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
23°C
$0 Wol.
12%
24°C
$15 Wol.
20%
25°C
$63 Wol.
47%
26°C
$76 Wol.
47%
27°C
$123 Wol.
-
28°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$31 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's September 20 minimum temperature remains closely balanced, with 27°C and 22°C-or-below each near 50% implied probability, because official forecasts from regional meteorological services converge on a 25–27°C overnight low under partly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity near 70–80% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms expected later in the period could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–26°C lows, but model consensus shows limited downside risk below 24°C absent stronger frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether convective development pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$431Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's September 20 minimum temperature remains closely balanced, with 27°C and 22°C-or-below each near 50% implied probability, because official forecasts from regional meteorological services converge on a 25–27°C overnight low under partly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity near 70–80% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms expected later in the period could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–26°C lows, but model consensus shows limited downside risk below 24°C absent stronger frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether convective development pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$431Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's September 20 minimum temperature remains closely balanced, with 27°C and 22°C-or-below each near 50% implied probability, because official forecasts from regional meteorological services converge on a 25–27°C overnight low under partly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity near 70–80% and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, while scattered thunderstorms expected later in the period could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the minimum. Historical September baselines for the region average 24–26°C lows, but model consensus shows limited downside risk below 24°C absent stronger frontal activity. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether convective development pushes readings toward the lower end of the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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