Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 22?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 22?
60-61°F 32%
62-63°F 19%
56-57°F 11%
64-65°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
51°F or below
5%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70°F or higher
2%
60-61°F 32%
62-63°F 19%
56-57°F 11%
64-65°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Wol.
5%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
5%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
7%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
11%
58-59°F
$97 Wol.
47%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
32%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
19%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
2%
70°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$97Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$97Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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