Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place New York City’s overnight low for September 21 in the low-to-mid 60s, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65 °F. Primary drivers include a moderating maritime airmass, light southwesterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show minor timing differences in any weak frontal passage and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F. Historical September climatology for Central Park (mean low near 60 °F) provides context, yet short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated until the final evening observations confirm the exact minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 21?
62-63°F 40%
64-65°F 32%
60-61°F 28%
66-67°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 40%
64-65°F 32%
60-61°F 28%
66-67°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
53°F or below
$55 Wol.
1%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
3%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
7%
58-59°F
$22 Wol.
7%
60-61°F
$256 Wol.
28%
62-63°F
$298 Wol.
40%
64-65°F
$99 Wol.
32%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
16%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
2%
72°F or higher
$7 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place New York City’s overnight low for September 21 in the low-to-mid 60s, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65 °F. Primary drivers include a moderating maritime airmass, light southwesterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show minor timing differences in any weak frontal passage and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F. Historical September climatology for Central Park (mean low near 60 °F) provides context, yet short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated until the final evening observations confirm the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$737Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place New York City’s overnight low for September 21 in the low-to-mid 60s, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65 °F. Primary drivers include a moderating maritime airmass, light southwesterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show minor timing differences in any weak frontal passage and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F. Historical September climatology for Central Park (mean low near 60 °F) provides context, yet short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated until the final evening observations confirm the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$737Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs place New York City’s overnight low for September 21 in the low-to-mid 60s, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65 °F. Primary drivers include a moderating maritime airmass, light southwesterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show minor timing differences in any weak frontal passage and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F. Historical September climatology for Central Park (mean low near 60 °F) provides context, yet short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated until the final evening observations confirm the exact minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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