**Latest model consensus and observational data position highs near 30–31°C as the most probable outcome for Qingdao on September 20.** Southerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge is advecting warmer air masses northward along the Shandong coast, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow strong daytime insolation to push temperatures above the late-September climatological average of ~26°C. Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show highs clustering between 27–30°C, with some runs supporting 30°C or slightly higher if boundary-layer mixing remains efficient. A wind shift toward northerly directions is expected later, but timing uncertainty keeps the 32°C+ tail at 19% implied probability. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily, as resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 20?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 20?
31°C 45%
30°C 30%
32°C or higher 21.2%
29°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
30%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
21%
31°C 45%
30°C 30%
32°C or higher 21.2%
29°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$181 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$31 Wol.
2%
27°C
$5 Wol.
2%
28°C
$393 Wol.
2%
29°C
$362 Wol.
4%
30°C
$2,785 Wol.
30%
31°C
$1,816 Wol.
45%
32°C or higher
$1,125 Wol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus and observational data position highs near 30–31°C as the most probable outcome for Qingdao on September 20.** Southerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge is advecting warmer air masses northward along the Shandong coast, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow strong daytime insolation to push temperatures above the late-September climatological average of ~26°C. Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show highs clustering between 27–30°C, with some runs supporting 30°C or slightly higher if boundary-layer mixing remains efficient. A wind shift toward northerly directions is expected later, but timing uncertainty keeps the 32°C+ tail at 19% implied probability. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily, as resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,820Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus and observational data position highs near 30–31°C as the most probable outcome for Qingdao on September 20.** Southerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge is advecting warmer air masses northward along the Shandong coast, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow strong daytime insolation to push temperatures above the late-September climatological average of ~26°C. Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show highs clustering between 27–30°C, with some runs supporting 30°C or slightly higher if boundary-layer mixing remains efficient. A wind shift toward northerly directions is expected later, but timing uncertainty keeps the 32°C+ tail at 19% implied probability. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily, as resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,820Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest model consensus and observational data position highs near 30–31°C as the most probable outcome for Qingdao on September 20.** Southerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge is advecting warmer air masses northward along the Shandong coast, while limited cloud cover and light winds allow strong daytime insolation to push temperatures above the late-September climatological average of ~26°C. Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models show highs clustering between 27–30°C, with some runs supporting 30°C or slightly higher if boundary-layer mixing remains efficient. A wind shift toward northerly directions is expected later, but timing uncertainty keeps the 32°C+ tail at 19% implied probability. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily, as resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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