Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on September 19?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 19?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,072 Wol.
$44,072 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,072 Wol.
$44,072 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
$706 Wol.
No
23°C
$512 Wol.
No
24°C
$524 Wol.
No
25°C
$934 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,058 Wol.
No
27°C
$11,955 Wol.
No
28°C
$8,723 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$6,674 Wol.
No
30°C
$6,311 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,420 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$256 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,072Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$44,072Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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