Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, ICON-EU, and national services show a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with southwest winds and increasing surface pressure supporting a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19. Multiple runs converge on afternoon peaks near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with recent observational trends of mild late-September conditions following cooler days earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting upside potential above 23°C or downside below 20°C, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
22°C 60%
21°C 33%
23°C 9%
20°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
33%
22°C
60%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 33%
23°C 9%
20°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
$632 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$70 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$239 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$607 Wol.
2%
21°C
$1,542 Wol.
33%
22°C
$2,242 Wol.
60%
23°C
$1,104 Wol.
9%
24°C
$500 Wol.
1%
25°C
$265 Wol.
1%
26°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$261 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, ICON-EU, and national services show a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with southwest winds and increasing surface pressure supporting a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19. Multiple runs converge on afternoon peaks near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with recent observational trends of mild late-September conditions following cooler days earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting upside potential above 23°C or downside below 20°C, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,573Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, ICON-EU, and national services show a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with southwest winds and increasing surface pressure supporting a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19. Multiple runs converge on afternoon peaks near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with recent observational trends of mild late-September conditions following cooler days earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting upside potential above 23°C or downside below 20°C, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,573Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF, ICON-EU, and national services show a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with southwest winds and increasing surface pressure supporting a daily maximum of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19. Multiple runs converge on afternoon peaks near 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with recent observational trends of mild late-September conditions following cooler days earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting upside potential above 23°C or downside below 20°C, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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