Current forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a maximum of 22°C in Paris on September 18, driven by westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit daytime heating near seasonal norms of 21°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with afternoon peaks expected in the 21–23°C range and negligible precipitation risk, supporting the strong market weighting toward 22°C. Historical September variability and measurement at official stations introduce minor uncertainty, though resolution criteria favor the observed high. Updated guidance overnight and early observations on the 18th will refine final probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 18?
22°C 57%
21°C 24%
23°C 19%
24°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
24%
22°C
57%
23°C
19%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 57%
21°C 24%
23°C 19%
24°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$1,149 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$157 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$334 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$417 Wol.
2%
21°C
$1,515 Wol.
24%
22°C
$2,359 Wol.
57%
23°C
$2,057 Wol.
19%
24°C
$421 Wol.
3%
25°C
$147 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$500 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a maximum of 22°C in Paris on September 18, driven by westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit daytime heating near seasonal norms of 21°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with afternoon peaks expected in the 21–23°C range and negligible precipitation risk, supporting the strong market weighting toward 22°C. Historical September variability and measurement at official stations introduce minor uncertainty, though resolution criteria favor the observed high. Updated guidance overnight and early observations on the 18th will refine final probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,207Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a maximum of 22°C in Paris on September 18, driven by westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit daytime heating near seasonal norms of 21°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with afternoon peaks expected in the 21–23°C range and negligible precipitation risk, supporting the strong market weighting toward 22°C. Historical September variability and measurement at official stations introduce minor uncertainty, though resolution criteria favor the observed high. Updated guidance overnight and early observations on the 18th will refine final probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,207Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a maximum of 22°C in Paris on September 18, driven by westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit daytime heating near seasonal norms of 21°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with afternoon peaks expected in the 21–23°C range and negligible precipitation risk, supporting the strong market weighting toward 22°C. Historical September variability and measurement at official stations introduce minor uncertainty, though resolution criteria favor the observed high. Updated guidance overnight and early observations on the 18th will refine final probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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