Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 18 will most likely fall between 12–13°C under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.4°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would drive deeper cooling. Trader sentiment, with 12°C and 11°C leading at 31% and 27.5% implied probability, captures the narrow spread among ensemble members and the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to small changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 18?
12°C 42%
11°C 29%
13°C 24%
10°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C
15%
11°C
29%
12°C
42%
13°C
24%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 42%
11°C 29%
13°C 24%
10°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
8°C
$0 Wol.
3%
9°C
$0 Wol.
5%
10°C
$0 Wol.
15%
11°C
$636 Wol.
29%
12°C
$419 Wol.
42%
13°C
$274 Wol.
24%
14°C
$0 Wol.
14%
15°C
$0 Wol.
2%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 18 will most likely fall between 12–13°C under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.4°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would drive deeper cooling. Trader sentiment, with 12°C and 11°C leading at 31% and 27.5% implied probability, captures the narrow spread among ensemble members and the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to small changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,329Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 18 will most likely fall between 12–13°C under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.4°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would drive deeper cooling. Trader sentiment, with 12°C and 11°C leading at 31% and 27.5% implied probability, captures the narrow spread among ensemble members and the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to small changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,329Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate the lowest temperature in Paris on September 18 will most likely fall between 12–13°C under a mild westerly flow with partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.4°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear, calm conditions that would drive deeper cooling. Trader sentiment, with 12°C and 11°C leading at 31% and 27.5% implied probability, captures the narrow spread among ensemble members and the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to small changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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