**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a highest temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77 °F bin’s 63.5% market-implied probability.** Typical September marine-layer influence and onshore southwest flow moderate coastal readings near the historical average high of 76.2 °F, while patchy morning drizzle and afternoon clearing limit afternoon warming. Recent observations show a slight cooldown from mid-September peaks near 80–85 °F at LAX, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome conditions to push values into the low 80s. Model runs and NWS guidance cluster tightly around 74–78 °F, supporting the heavy weighting on 76–77 °F and the secondary 20% odds on 78–79 °F, while lower bins reflect only modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
76-77°F 60%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
NOWE
$19,116 Wol.
NOWE
$19,116 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 60%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
NOWE
$19,116 Wol.
NOWE
$19,116 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
65°F or below
$353 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$253 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$381 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$553 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$695 Wol.
2%
74-75°F
$5,479 Wol.
15%
76-77°F
$2,937 Wol.
60%
78-79°F
$5,868 Wol.
20%
80-81°F
$1,600 Wol.
5%
82-83°F
$889 Wol.
1%
84°F or higher
$227 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a highest temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77 °F bin’s 63.5% market-implied probability.** Typical September marine-layer influence and onshore southwest flow moderate coastal readings near the historical average high of 76.2 °F, while patchy morning drizzle and afternoon clearing limit afternoon warming. Recent observations show a slight cooldown from mid-September peaks near 80–85 °F at LAX, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome conditions to push values into the low 80s. Model runs and NWS guidance cluster tightly around 74–78 °F, supporting the heavy weighting on 76–77 °F and the secondary 20% odds on 78–79 °F, while lower bins reflect only modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,116Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a highest temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77 °F bin’s 63.5% market-implied probability.** Typical September marine-layer influence and onshore southwest flow moderate coastal readings near the historical average high of 76.2 °F, while patchy morning drizzle and afternoon clearing limit afternoon warming. Recent observations show a slight cooldown from mid-September peaks near 80–85 °F at LAX, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome conditions to push values into the low 80s. Model runs and NWS guidance cluster tightly around 74–78 °F, supporting the heavy weighting on 76–77 °F and the secondary 20% odds on 78–79 °F, while lower bins reflect only modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,116Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a highest temperature in the mid to upper 70s for Los Angeles on September 16, 2026, aligning with the 76–77 °F bin’s 63.5% market-implied probability.** Typical September marine-layer influence and onshore southwest flow moderate coastal readings near the historical average high of 76.2 °F, while patchy morning drizzle and afternoon clearing limit afternoon warming. Recent observations show a slight cooldown from mid-September peaks near 80–85 °F at LAX, with no strong offshore winds or heat-dome conditions to push values into the low 80s. Model runs and NWS guidance cluster tightly around 74–78 °F, supporting the heavy weighting on 76–77 °F and the secondary 20% odds on 78–79 °F, while lower bins reflect only modest uncertainty in exact peak timing or microclimate variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania