Forecast models for Istanbul show considerable uncertainty in the overnight minimum on September 18, with projected lows clustered between roughly 15–19 °C amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend from mid-month peaks, yet lingering moisture and light winds could either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop depending on exact timing of any showers. This genuine short-range variability—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market split between sub-13 °C and 23 °C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological September minima near 16–18 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
13°C or below 99%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
99%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 99%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
99%
14°C
$0 Wol.
40%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
40%
18°C
$0 Wol.
40%
19°C
$0 Wol.
40%
20°C
$0 Wol.
40%
21°C
$0 Wol.
40%
22°C
$0 Wol.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul show considerable uncertainty in the overnight minimum on September 18, with projected lows clustered between roughly 15–19 °C amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend from mid-month peaks, yet lingering moisture and light winds could either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop depending on exact timing of any showers. This genuine short-range variability—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market split between sub-13 °C and 23 °C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological September minima near 16–18 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul show considerable uncertainty in the overnight minimum on September 18, with projected lows clustered between roughly 15–19 °C amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend from mid-month peaks, yet lingering moisture and light winds could either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop depending on exact timing of any showers. This genuine short-range variability—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market split between sub-13 °C and 23 °C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological September minima near 16–18 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Istanbul show considerable uncertainty in the overnight minimum on September 18, with projected lows clustered between roughly 15–19 °C amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend from mid-month peaks, yet lingering moisture and light winds could either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop depending on exact timing of any showers. This genuine short-range variability—typical when steering patterns remain weak—explains the near-even market split between sub-13 °C and 23 °C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological September minima near 16–18 °C. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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