Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with an 80-85% chance of rain or thunderstorms on September 16 are the primary drivers limiting daytime heating in Lucknow, consistent with India Meteorological Department and multiple model guidance showing highs near 31-34°C. High humidity levels near 80% and light winds further support moderated maxima, aligning with September climatological averages of 32-34°C highs while favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 31-32°C outcomes at over 60% combined, as traders weigh official forecasts against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated model runs and IMD briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to influence final positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
32°C 60%
31°C 19%
33°C or higher 19%
30°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
60%
33°C or higher
19%
32°C 60%
31°C 19%
33°C or higher 19%
30°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$523 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$194 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$743 Wol.
1%
26°C
$135 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C
$165 Wol.
1%
29°C
$159 Wol.
2%
30°C
$186 Wol.
4%
31°C
$323 Wol.
19%
32°C
$922 Wol.
60%
33°C or higher
$585 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with an 80-85% chance of rain or thunderstorms on September 16 are the primary drivers limiting daytime heating in Lucknow, consistent with India Meteorological Department and multiple model guidance showing highs near 31-34°C. High humidity levels near 80% and light winds further support moderated maxima, aligning with September climatological averages of 32-34°C highs while favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 31-32°C outcomes at over 60% combined, as traders weigh official forecasts against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated model runs and IMD briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,933Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with an 80-85% chance of rain or thunderstorms on September 16 are the primary drivers limiting daytime heating in Lucknow, consistent with India Meteorological Department and multiple model guidance showing highs near 31-34°C. High humidity levels near 80% and light winds further support moderated maxima, aligning with September climatological averages of 32-34°C highs while favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 31-32°C outcomes at over 60% combined, as traders weigh official forecasts against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated model runs and IMD briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,933Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover with an 80-85% chance of rain or thunderstorms on September 16 are the primary drivers limiting daytime heating in Lucknow, consistent with India Meteorological Department and multiple model guidance showing highs near 31-34°C. High humidity levels near 80% and light winds further support moderated maxima, aligning with September climatological averages of 32-34°C highs while favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain the market's concentration of implied probability on 31-32°C outcomes at over 60% combined, as traders weigh official forecasts against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated model runs and IMD briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to influence final positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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