Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooler-than-average spring day for Buenos Aires on September 16, with daytime maxima projected near 12–14°C under easterly flow and increasing cloud cover, well below the seasonal mean high of roughly 18–19°C. Southerly winds and stable high pressure appear to suppress warming, aligning with recent model runs showing limited diurnal rise and overnight lows near 6–10°C. Market-implied odds favoring 14–16°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in precise peak timing and any late-day clearing that could allow modest additional heating, while lower probabilities for 17°C or above capture the low likelihood of rapid model shifts or unexpected warm advection before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
15°C 47%
16°C 21%
14°C 18%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
18%
15°C
47%
16°C
21%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 47%
16°C 21%
14°C 18%
13°C 7%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
18%
15°C
47%
16°C
21%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooler-than-average spring day for Buenos Aires on September 16, with daytime maxima projected near 12–14°C under easterly flow and increasing cloud cover, well below the seasonal mean high of roughly 18–19°C. Southerly winds and stable high pressure appear to suppress warming, aligning with recent model runs showing limited diurnal rise and overnight lows near 6–10°C. Market-implied odds favoring 14–16°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in precise peak timing and any late-day clearing that could allow modest additional heating, while lower probabilities for 17°C or above capture the low likelihood of rapid model shifts or unexpected warm advection before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania