Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including runs highlighting northerly winds and scattered showers, position Istanbul's September 17 maximum near 22–23°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% and 34.5%. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from a persistent northerly flow drawing air from higher latitudes, suppressing peak readings below the historical mid-September average of roughly 25°C. Official guidance notes intermittent precipitation potential that further limits diurnal warming, with model consensus tightening around these values ahead of the day's final observations. Traders appear to weigh the stability of this pattern against minor uncertainties in exact cloud cover and wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
22°C 50%
23°C 36%
21°C 9%
24°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
50%
23°C
36%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 50%
23°C 36%
21°C 9%
24°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
18°C or below
$161 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$184 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$319 Wol.
3%
21°C
$124 Wol.
9%
22°C
$381 Wol.
50%
23°C
$234 Wol.
36%
24°C
$283 Wol.
7%
25°C
$27 Wol.
2%
26°C
$42 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including runs highlighting northerly winds and scattered showers, position Istanbul's September 17 maximum near 22–23°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% and 34.5%. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from a persistent northerly flow drawing air from higher latitudes, suppressing peak readings below the historical mid-September average of roughly 25°C. Official guidance notes intermittent precipitation potential that further limits diurnal warming, with model consensus tightening around these values ahead of the day's final observations. Traders appear to weigh the stability of this pattern against minor uncertainties in exact cloud cover and wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,755Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including runs highlighting northerly winds and scattered showers, position Istanbul's September 17 maximum near 22–23°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% and 34.5%. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from a persistent northerly flow drawing air from higher latitudes, suppressing peak readings below the historical mid-September average of roughly 25°C. Official guidance notes intermittent precipitation potential that further limits diurnal warming, with model consensus tightening around these values ahead of the day's final observations. Traders appear to weigh the stability of this pattern against minor uncertainties in exact cloud cover and wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,755Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including runs highlighting northerly winds and scattered showers, position Istanbul's September 17 maximum near 22–23°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% and 34.5%. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from a persistent northerly flow drawing air from higher latitudes, suppressing peak readings below the historical mid-September average of roughly 25°C. Official guidance notes intermittent precipitation potential that further limits diurnal warming, with model consensus tightening around these values ahead of the day's final observations. Traders appear to weigh the stability of this pattern against minor uncertainties in exact cloud cover and wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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