Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Tokyo's September 16 maximum will likely reach 22–23°C amid widespread rain and a shift to northerly winds, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching frontal system will limit solar heating and suppress temperatures below recent southerly flow conditions that produced highs near 29°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to below-normal values due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency on steering patterns and rainfall timing will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily high measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
24°C 25%
25°C 23%
23°C 16%
27°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
25%
25°C
23%
26°C
9%
27°C
11%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
4%
24°C 25%
25°C 23%
23°C 16%
27°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$0 Wol.
7%
22°C
$5 Wol.
9%
23°C
$118 Wol.
16%
24°C
$0 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
23%
26°C
$0 Wol.
9%
27°C
$0 Wol.
11%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Tokyo's September 16 maximum will likely reach 22–23°C amid widespread rain and a shift to northerly winds, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching frontal system will limit solar heating and suppress temperatures below recent southerly flow conditions that produced highs near 29°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to below-normal values due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency on steering patterns and rainfall timing will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$123Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Tokyo's September 16 maximum will likely reach 22–23°C amid widespread rain and a shift to northerly winds, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching frontal system will limit solar heating and suppress temperatures below recent southerly flow conditions that produced highs near 29°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to below-normal values due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency on steering patterns and rainfall timing will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$123Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Tokyo's September 16 maximum will likely reach 22–23°C amid widespread rain and a shift to northerly winds, driving the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching frontal system will limit solar heating and suppress temperatures below recent southerly flow conditions that produced highs near 29°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, yet current model consensus points to below-normal values due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency on steering patterns and rainfall timing will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily high measurement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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