Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on September 16, driven by a strengthening high-pressure system ushering in cooler southerly winds and partial cloud cover following earlier northerly flow and showers. This setup limits solar heating and promotes mixing of cooler marine air, consistent with spring transition patterns where temperatures often fall below the seasonal average of 18–19°C. Trader emphasis on 18°C likely incorporates lingering model spread and recent warmer analogs, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from persistent cloud or stronger winds. Updated guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 16?
18°C 43%
17°C 28%
14°C 15%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
28%
18°C
43%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 28%
14°C 15%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
28%
18°C
43%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on September 16, driven by a strengthening high-pressure system ushering in cooler southerly winds and partial cloud cover following earlier northerly flow and showers. This setup limits solar heating and promotes mixing of cooler marine air, consistent with spring transition patterns where temperatures often fall below the seasonal average of 18–19°C. Trader emphasis on 18°C likely incorporates lingering model spread and recent warmer analogs, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from persistent cloud or stronger winds. Updated guidance from agencies such as the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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