Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a high near 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 39.5% and 28%. Warmer-than-average conditions relative to the 21.7°C climatological norm stem from stable high pressure and modest warm advection, with afternoon peaks expected around 15:00–17:00 local time. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty, favoring the 26–29°C range overall while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C or below 25°C given current steering patterns and low cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
27°C 40%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
40%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 40%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
3%
24°C
$0 Wol.
3%
25°C
$9 Wol.
7%
26°C
$152 Wol.
19%
27°C
$94 Wol.
40%
28°C
$494 Wol.
27%
29°C
$106 Wol.
15%
30°C
$30 Wol.
3%
31°C
$0 Wol.
3%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a high near 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 39.5% and 28%. Warmer-than-average conditions relative to the 21.7°C climatological norm stem from stable high pressure and modest warm advection, with afternoon peaks expected around 15:00–17:00 local time. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty, favoring the 26–29°C range overall while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C or below 25°C given current steering patterns and low cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$890Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a high near 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 39.5% and 28%. Warmer-than-average conditions relative to the 21.7°C climatological norm stem from stable high pressure and modest warm advection, with afternoon peaks expected around 15:00–17:00 local time. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty, favoring the 26–29°C range overall while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C or below 25°C given current steering patterns and low cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$890Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a high near 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders at 39.5% and 28%. Warmer-than-average conditions relative to the 21.7°C climatological norm stem from stable high pressure and modest warm advection, with afternoon peaks expected around 15:00–17:00 local time. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty, favoring the 26–29°C range overall while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C or below 25°C given current steering patterns and low cloud cover. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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