Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService and global centers indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light east to southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, informed by recent stable high-pressure patterns and springtime radiative warming over the North Island, positions 14°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while supporting the secondary 13°C outcome. Typical September variability of 2–3°C around the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C, combined with local topographic effects around the harbor, accounts for the narrower probabilities on 15°C and lower temperatures. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
14°C 58%
13°C 21%
15°C 16%
12°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
21%
14°C
58%
15°C
16%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 58%
13°C 21%
15°C 16%
12°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$506 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$304 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$10 Wol.
2%
11°C
$171 Wol.
2%
12°C
$113 Wol.
3%
13°C
$866 Wol.
21%
14°C
$912 Wol.
58%
15°C
$132 Wol.
16%
16°C
$142 Wol.
3%
17°C
$330 Wol.
1%
18°C or higher
$143 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService and global centers indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light east to southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, informed by recent stable high-pressure patterns and springtime radiative warming over the North Island, positions 14°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while supporting the secondary 13°C outcome. Typical September variability of 2–3°C around the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C, combined with local topographic effects around the harbor, accounts for the narrower probabilities on 15°C and lower temperatures. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,630Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService and global centers indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light east to southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, informed by recent stable high-pressure patterns and springtime radiative warming over the North Island, positions 14°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while supporting the secondary 13°C outcome. Typical September variability of 2–3°C around the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C, combined with local topographic effects around the harbor, accounts for the narrower probabilities on 15°C and lower temperatures. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,630Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from MetService and global centers indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light east to southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, informed by recent stable high-pressure patterns and springtime radiative warming over the North Island, positions 14°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while supporting the secondary 13°C outcome. Typical September variability of 2–3°C around the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C, combined with local topographic effects around the harbor, accounts for the narrower probabilities on 15°C and lower temperatures. Updated model runs and official observations through the weekend will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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