Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Moscow will experience mostly sunny conditions on September 10 with southerly flow advecting warmer air, supporting an afternoon peak near 23–25 °C—slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with minimal precipitation risk and light-to-moderate winds, keeping the highest temperature resolution tightly clustered. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25 °C commanding the largest share as the modal outcome while 24 °C and 26 °C capture residual uncertainty from minor timing or local microclimate variations. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
25°C 49%
24°C 19%
26°C 19%
23°C 6%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
19%
25°C
49%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 49%
24°C 19%
26°C 19%
23°C 6%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
19%
25°C
49%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Moscow will experience mostly sunny conditions on September 10 with southerly flow advecting warmer air, supporting an afternoon peak near 23–25 °C—slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with minimal precipitation risk and light-to-moderate winds, keeping the highest temperature resolution tightly clustered. Market-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25 °C commanding the largest share as the modal outcome while 24 °C and 26 °C capture residual uncertainty from minor timing or local microclimate variations. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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