Market-implied odds strongly favor 33°C as Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and historical September climatology for the Malaysian capital. Inter-monsoon conditions typically produce afternoon highs near 32–33°C, with minimal day-to-day variability under light winds and high humidity. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing no significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling. Traders assign negligible probability to 34°C or higher, consistent with the narrow observed distribution in recent years. A late-model run showing stronger subsidence or an unforecast clear-sky period could still push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 9?
33°C 99%
34°C 3%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$34,041 Wol.
$34,041 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99%
34°C 3%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$34,041 Wol.
$34,041 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor 33°C as Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and historical September climatology for the Malaysian capital. Inter-monsoon conditions typically produce afternoon highs near 32–33°C, with minimal day-to-day variability under light winds and high humidity. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing no significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling. Traders assign negligible probability to 34°C or higher, consistent with the narrow observed distribution in recent years. A late-model run showing stronger subsidence or an unforecast clear-sky period could still push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania