Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
25°C 58%
26°C 40%
24°C 3%
23°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
58%
26°C
40%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 58%
26°C 40%
24°C 3%
23°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$416 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$213 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$94 Wol.
2%
24°C
$359 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,106 Wol.
58%
26°C
$456 Wol.
40%
27°C
$209 Wol.
2%
28°C
$165 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$215 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$184 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,561Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,561Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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