Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance positions a mostly cloudy day with light easterly flow and limited mixing, supporting a maximum temperature near 18°C in Munich on September 10. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (47%) and 18°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads that cluster in the 17–19°C range. Cooler-than-average conditions follow persistent rain on September 9, suppressing daytime warming relative to the 20.5°C climatological high. Updated short-range runs show minimal diurnal spread and low precipitation risk, tightening expectations around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 46%
18°C 35%
17°C 12%
20°C 9%
NOWE
$21,729 Wol.
NOWE
$21,729 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
35%
19°C
46%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 46%
18°C 35%
17°C 12%
20°C 9%
NOWE
$21,729 Wol.
NOWE
$21,729 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$1,260 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,543 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$287 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$359 Wol.
2%
17°C
$3,625 Wol.
12%
18°C
$2,883 Wol.
35%
19°C
$3,894 Wol.
46%
20°C
$4,419 Wol.
9%
21°C
$2,230 Wol.
2%
22°C
$501 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$727 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance positions a mostly cloudy day with light easterly flow and limited mixing, supporting a maximum temperature near 18°C in Munich on September 10. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (47%) and 18°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads that cluster in the 17–19°C range. Cooler-than-average conditions follow persistent rain on September 9, suppressing daytime warming relative to the 20.5°C climatological high. Updated short-range runs show minimal diurnal spread and low precipitation risk, tightening expectations around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,729Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance positions a mostly cloudy day with light easterly flow and limited mixing, supporting a maximum temperature near 18°C in Munich on September 10. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (47%) and 18°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads that cluster in the 17–19°C range. Cooler-than-average conditions follow persistent rain on September 9, suppressing daytime warming relative to the 20.5°C climatological high. Updated short-range runs show minimal diurnal spread and low precipitation risk, tightening expectations around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,729Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and DWD guidance positions a mostly cloudy day with light easterly flow and limited mixing, supporting a maximum temperature near 18°C in Munich on September 10. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (47%) and 18°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads that cluster in the 17–19°C range. Cooler-than-average conditions follow persistent rain on September 9, suppressing daytime warming relative to the 20.5°C climatological high. Updated short-range runs show minimal diurnal spread and low precipitation risk, tightening expectations around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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