Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
15°C or higher 54%
5°C or below 47%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
47%
6°C
9%
7°C
13%
8°C
25%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C or higher
54%
15°C or higher 54%
5°C or below 47%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
$119 Wol.
47%
6°C
$23 Wol.
9%
7°C
$0 Wol.
13%
8°C
$0 Wol.
25%
9°C
$0 Wol.
27%
10°C
$0 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
21%
12°C
$571 Wol.
9%
13°C
$0 Wol.
14%
14°C
$0 Wol.
14%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$713Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$713Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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