Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver keeping Hong Kong daytime maxima tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 10, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 26–31°C range under partly sunny skies and isolated showers. Model consensus and recent observations show limited diurnal heating potential due to moderate northeasterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity of 55–90%, and modest cloud cover that caps peak temperatures near seasonal September norms of about 31°C. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects genuine uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima, which hinge on the timing and extent of any showers or breaks in cloud; probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band because stronger monsoon surges or clearer skies would be required to shift outcomes. Official verification data will resolve the market shortly after local midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
37%
31°C
36%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
$411 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$103 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$555 Wol.
3%
29°C
$156 Wol.
13%
30°C
$131 Wol.
37%
31°C
$123 Wol.
36%
32°C
$171 Wol.
8%
33°C
$255 Wol.
3%
34°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$40 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$127 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver keeping Hong Kong daytime maxima tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 10, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 26–31°C range under partly sunny skies and isolated showers. Model consensus and recent observations show limited diurnal heating potential due to moderate northeasterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity of 55–90%, and modest cloud cover that caps peak temperatures near seasonal September norms of about 31°C. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects genuine uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima, which hinge on the timing and extent of any showers or breaks in cloud; probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band because stronger monsoon surges or clearer skies would be required to shift outcomes. Official verification data will resolve the market shortly after local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,223Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver keeping Hong Kong daytime maxima tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 10, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 26–31°C range under partly sunny skies and isolated showers. Model consensus and recent observations show limited diurnal heating potential due to moderate northeasterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity of 55–90%, and modest cloud cover that caps peak temperatures near seasonal September norms of about 31°C. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects genuine uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima, which hinge on the timing and extent of any showers or breaks in cloud; probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band because stronger monsoon surges or clearer skies would be required to shift outcomes. Official verification data will resolve the market shortly after local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,223Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver keeping Hong Kong daytime maxima tightly clustered around 30–31°C for September 10, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 26–31°C range under partly sunny skies and isolated showers. Model consensus and recent observations show limited diurnal heating potential due to moderate northeasterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity of 55–90%, and modest cloud cover that caps peak temperatures near seasonal September norms of about 31°C. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects genuine uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima, which hinge on the timing and extent of any showers or breaks in cloud; probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band because stronger monsoon surges or clearer skies would be required to shift outcomes. Official verification data will resolve the market shortly after local midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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