Forecast models indicate a southerly flow advecting mild, moist air over Amsterdam on September 11, with overnight lows expected near 12–14 °C amid variable cloud cover and light rain that could limit radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create uncertainty around exact minimums, supporting closely matched market-implied odds near 29–32 % for the 13–14 °C and extreme tails. High humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharp nocturnal drops below seasonal normals, while any clearing could allow brief radiative cooling toward 11 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
8°C or below 73%
18°C or higher 54%
15°C 38%
14°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
8°C or below
73%
9°C
8%
10°C
14%
11°C
15%
12°C
24%
13°C
28%
14°C
32%
15°C
38%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
54%
8°C or below 73%
18°C or higher 54%
15°C 38%
14°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
73%
9°C
$0 Wol.
8%
10°C
$0 Wol.
14%
11°C
$0 Wol.
15%
12°C
$0 Wol.
24%
13°C
$0 Wol.
28%
14°C
$0 Wol.
32%
15°C
$0 Wol.
38%
16°C
$0 Wol.
13%
17°C
$0 Wol.
13%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a southerly flow advecting mild, moist air over Amsterdam on September 11, with overnight lows expected near 12–14 °C amid variable cloud cover and light rain that could limit radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create uncertainty around exact minimums, supporting closely matched market-implied odds near 29–32 % for the 13–14 °C and extreme tails. High humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharp nocturnal drops below seasonal normals, while any clearing could allow brief radiative cooling toward 11 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a southerly flow advecting mild, moist air over Amsterdam on September 11, with overnight lows expected near 12–14 °C amid variable cloud cover and light rain that could limit radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create uncertainty around exact minimums, supporting closely matched market-implied odds near 29–32 % for the 13–14 °C and extreme tails. High humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharp nocturnal drops below seasonal normals, while any clearing could allow brief radiative cooling toward 11 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a southerly flow advecting mild, moist air over Amsterdam on September 11, with overnight lows expected near 12–14 °C amid variable cloud cover and light rain that could limit radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create uncertainty around exact minimums, supporting closely matched market-implied odds near 29–32 % for the 13–14 °C and extreme tails. High humidity and weak winds reduce the potential for sharp nocturnal drops below seasonal normals, while any clearing could allow brief radiative cooling toward 11 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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