Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Amsterdam around 11–14°C on September 12, aligning with the seasonal average low of 11.1°C and reflecting a cooler-than-typical September trend. This positions the 7°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and potential nocturnal cooling under high pressure. Higher thresholds like 17°C or above carry 38.5% odds, consistent with daytime maxima near 19–21°C but tempered by historical variability and model consensus on mild overnight conditions. Updated runs and official monitoring will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 83%
11°C 40%
10°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
26%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
83%
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 83%
11°C 40%
10°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
8°C
$0 Wol.
26%
9°C
$0 Wol.
26%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
26%
13°C
$0 Wol.
21%
14°C
$0 Wol.
15%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
26%
17°C or higher
$0 Wol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Amsterdam around 11–14°C on September 12, aligning with the seasonal average low of 11.1°C and reflecting a cooler-than-typical September trend. This positions the 7°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and potential nocturnal cooling under high pressure. Higher thresholds like 17°C or above carry 38.5% odds, consistent with daytime maxima near 19–21°C but tempered by historical variability and model consensus on mild overnight conditions. Updated runs and official monitoring will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Amsterdam around 11–14°C on September 12, aligning with the seasonal average low of 11.1°C and reflecting a cooler-than-typical September trend. This positions the 7°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and potential nocturnal cooling under high pressure. Higher thresholds like 17°C or above carry 38.5% odds, consistent with daytime maxima near 19–21°C but tempered by historical variability and model consensus on mild overnight conditions. Updated runs and official monitoring will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Amsterdam around 11–14°C on September 12, aligning with the seasonal average low of 11.1°C and reflecting a cooler-than-typical September trend. This positions the 7°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability amid forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and potential nocturnal cooling under high pressure. Higher thresholds like 17°C or above carry 38.5% odds, consistent with daytime maxima near 19–21°C but tempered by historical variability and model consensus on mild overnight conditions. Updated runs and official monitoring will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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