Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European services indicate a September 12 high in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating from variable cloud cover. This positions 22 °C as the market leader at 54.5 % implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near 21–22 °C after morning fog or low stratus clears. Historical climatology for mid-September places the long-term average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without strong high-pressure subsidence to push readings toward 24 °C or above. Low precipitation odds and moderate winds further support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
22°C 55%
21°C 35%
23°C 7%
20°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
35%
22°C
55%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 55%
21°C 35%
23°C 7%
20°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$25 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
2%
18°C
$0 Wol.
3%
19°C
$0 Wol.
5%
20°C
$29 Wol.
7%
21°C
$113 Wol.
35%
22°C
$188 Wol.
55%
23°C
$39 Wol.
7%
24°C
$24 Wol.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European services indicate a September 12 high in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating from variable cloud cover. This positions 22 °C as the market leader at 54.5 % implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near 21–22 °C after morning fog or low stratus clears. Historical climatology for mid-September places the long-term average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without strong high-pressure subsidence to push readings toward 24 °C or above. Low precipitation odds and moderate winds further support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$418Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European services indicate a September 12 high in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating from variable cloud cover. This positions 22 °C as the market leader at 54.5 % implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near 21–22 °C after morning fog or low stratus clears. Historical climatology for mid-September places the long-term average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without strong high-pressure subsidence to push readings toward 24 °C or above. Low precipitation odds and moderate winds further support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$418Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European services indicate a September 12 high in Amsterdam most likely between 21–23 °C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating from variable cloud cover. This positions 22 °C as the market leader at 54.5 % implied probability, consistent with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near 21–22 °C after morning fog or low stratus clears. Historical climatology for mid-September places the long-term average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without strong high-pressure subsidence to push readings toward 24 °C or above. Low precipitation odds and moderate winds further support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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